Sport Picks
Brasil de Pelotas vs Pelotas Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa FGF 2025 Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas 
Match Events
45'
45'
45'
45'
51'
51'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Brasil de Pelotas come out ahead of Pelotas on wins alone.
- Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brasil de Pelotas | Pelotas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 16 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Pelotas
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Pelotas
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brasil de Pelotas 95 / 100
Pelotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brasil de Pelotas Pelotas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brasil de Pelotas scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Pelotas conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Brasil de Pelotas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Pelotas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brasil de Pelotas VS Pelotas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brasil de Pelotas
(Home) 03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0 Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0 Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 GE Gloria
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0 Lajeadense
27 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2 Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 4
Pelotas
(Away) 27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1 Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1 Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3 EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1 Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1 Pelotas
05 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1 Pelotas
02 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 0 Pelotas
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0 Pelotas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pelotas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:3 | 16 |
| 2 | SC Gaucho | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Brasil de Pelotas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Esportivo Bento Goncalves | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Aimore | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 6 | EC Juventude 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Internacional 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 8 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sao Gabriel | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0:30 | -4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
