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Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gabriel Morbeck
69' Event
Yan Philippe

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Brasil de Pelotas and SC Gaucho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Brasil de Pelotas
20%
Draws
7%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Brasil de Pelotas taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 18 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
0:0
May 26, 2013 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Philippe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 95 / 100
SC Gaucho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

SC Gaucho has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brasil de Pelotas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS SC Gaucho
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
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SC Gaucho

(Away)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)