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Brasilia FC (DF) vs ARUC

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2025 game between Brasilia FC (DF) and ARUC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ARUC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brasilia FC (DF)
22%
Draws
18%
ARUC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brasilia FC (DF)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brasilia FC (DF) come out ahead of ARUC on wins alone.
  • Brasilia FC (DF) are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 12%
ARUC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasilia FC (DF) ARUC
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Brasiliense
ARUC vs Brasilia FC (DF)
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Brasiliense 2
Brasilia FC (DF) vs ARUC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasilia FC (DF) 56 / 100
ARUC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasilia FC (DF) ARUC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: ARUC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Brasilia FC (DF) scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

ARUC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brasilia FC (DF) VS ARUC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasilia FC (DF)

(Home)
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
12 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
1 : 3
Capital
07 Feb
Samambaia
4 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
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ARUC

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
21 Feb
Gama
2 : 0
ARUC
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
08 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
ARUC
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ARUC752028:417
2Brasilia FC (DF)751120:416
3Planaltina741216:413
4Cruzeiro FC732211:711
5Luziania72328:49
6Gremio Valparaiso72058:196
7Riacho City71158:264
8Candango71064:353
Promotion - Brasiliense (Main)