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Stadium Background

Brasiliense vs ARUC

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Tarta
69' Event
Tarta

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Brasiliense and ARUC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasiliense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Brasiliense
6%
Draws
4%
ARUC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brasiliense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brasiliense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 68%
ARUC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense ARUC
Matches Played 33 16
Wins 13 6
Draws 12 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.2
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs ARUC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasiliense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarta
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

ARUC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 95 / 100
ARUC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense ARUC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ARUC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Brasiliense scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

ARUC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS ARUC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.4
63% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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ARUC

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
21 Feb
Gama
2 : 0
ARUC
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
08 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
ARUC
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama972015:423
2Samambaia962121:520
3Sobradinho952211:817
4Ceilandia951317:1216
5Capital943219:1015
6Brasiliense943213:715
7Real Brasilia931511:1310
8Paranoa92078:246
9Brasilia FC (DF)91084:193
10ARUC91083:203
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)