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Brasiliense vs Paranoa

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Brasiliense Logo

Brasiliense

2 - 0
FT
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Gustavo Henrique
90' Event
Rubens
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brasiliense in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brasiliense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Brasiliense
20%
Draws
22%
Paranoa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Paranoa haven't matched Brasiliense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brasiliense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 68%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Paranoa
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 15 14
Draws 14 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Brasiliense
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Paranoa
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Paranoa
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Paranoa
1:2
Jan 23, 2022 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Paranoa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasiliense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paranoa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 95 / 100
Paranoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Paranoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brasiliense scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: Paranoa conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Brasiliense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS Paranoa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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Paranoa

(Away)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)