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Bratstvo Cijevna vs Mornar Bar

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bratstvo Cijevna play Mornar Bar in the Druga Liga 2016/2017. Mornar Bar are favorites here. Recently, Bratstvo Cijevna averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Mornar Bar averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. In past meetings, Bratstvo Cijevna won 0, Mornar Bar won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Bratstvo Cijevna and 1.43 for Mornar Bar. This points to a Mornar Bar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bratstvo Cijevna
22%
Draws
62%
Mornar Bar
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Bratstvo Cijevna picked up more points recently compared to Mornar Bar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Bratstvo Cijevna Clean Sheet 17%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bratstvo Cijevna Mornar Bar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Druga Liga
Bratstvo Cijevna vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Mar 19, 2017 Druga Liga
Mornar Bar vs Bratstvo Cijevna
4:0
Oct 9, 2016 Druga Liga
Bratstvo Cijevna vs Mornar Bar
1:1
Oct 22, 2014 Montenegrin Cup
Bratstvo Cijevna vs Mornar Bar
0:3
Oct 1, 2014 Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar vs Bratstvo Cijevna
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bratstvo Cijevna 18 / 100
Mornar Bar 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bratstvo Cijevna Mornar Bar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mornar Bar & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bratstvo Cijevna attacking → ← attacking Mornar Bar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bratstvo Cijevna scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Mornar Bar let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bratstvo Cijevna went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Mornar Bar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 64
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kom Podgorica30188467:2162
2Ibar30186642:1660
3Otrant30157832:2251
4Mornar Bar301310737:2149
5Jezero301281034:2644
6Berane301281046:4341
7FK Cetinje301161327:3539
8Igalo301041630:4334
9Celik Niksic30941726:4727
10Radnicki Berane30661831:6824
11Bratstvo Cijevna30471927:5719
12Graficar Podgorica00000:00