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Bray vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bray host Kerry in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bray have averaged 2.88 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Kerry's 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Bray have won 3 to Kerry's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.31) back Bray to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bray
11%
Draws
9%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kerry haven't matched Bray's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Bray taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bray Clean Sheet 18%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Kerry
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:2
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
5:1
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 76 / 100
Kerry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Kerry conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bray remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Kerry
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822