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Bray vs Finn Harps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds, Bray
Bray Logo

Bray

5 - 0
FT
Finn Harps Logo

Finn Harps

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sesay J. B.
34'
Benny
37'
Hutchison M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bray in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bray
15%
Draws
26%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bray lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bray Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Finn Harps
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.94 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:0
Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
5:0
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Bray
0:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Sammy T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sesay J. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 31 / 100
Finn Harps 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Finn Harps has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bray went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Finn Harps
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
16 Oct
Finn Harps
2 : 0
Bray
09 Oct
Bray
2 : 2
Wexford
02 Oct
Bray
1 : 4
Cobh Ramblers
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
Page 1 of 7

Finn Harps

(Away)
16 Oct
Finn Harps
2 : 0
Bray
09 Oct
Cork City
2 : 0
Finn Harps
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 36 23 6 7 74:35 75
2 UC Dublin 36 16 8 12 67:51 56
3 Bray 36 15 9 12 67:53 54
4 Kerry 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
5 Longford 36 14 10 12 49:46 52
6 Cobh Ramblers 36 14 7 15 46:54 49
7 Athlone 36 13 9 14 42:43 48
8 Wexford 36 11 9 16 44:58 42
9 Treaty United 36 11 9 16 37:53 42
10 Finn Harps 36 7 7 22 33:70 28
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)