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Bray vs Monaghan United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Jul 27, 2012
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bray host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bray have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Monaghan United's 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded. Head-to-head, Bray have won 2 to Monaghan United's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2012, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.04 - 1.38) back Bray to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bray
20%
Draws
51%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bray Clean Sheet 17%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Monaghan United
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:0
Jul 27, 2012 Premier Division
Bray vs Monaghan United
0:0
Apr 27, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:1
Nov 8, 2010 Premier Division
Bray vs Monaghan United
2:1
Nov 5, 2010 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bray
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 30 / 100
Monaghan United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Monaghan United conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bray stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)