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Bray vs Treaty United

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds, Bray
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Conroy C.
67' Event
Mustali E.
69'
Sub
Oluwabiyi A. In: Cheese E.
Out: Oluwabiyi A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Bray and Treaty United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bray
20%
Draws
29%
Treaty United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bray a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bray Clean Sheet 15%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Treaty United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Treaty United
2:0
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Bray
2:2
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Treaty United
2:2
Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Bray
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Treaty United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustali E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferizaj R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Treaty United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 48 / 100
Treaty United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Treaty United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Treaty United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bray went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Treaty United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Treaty United

(Away)
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
5 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
6 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
7 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)