Sport Picks

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Bray vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bray play UC Dublin in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bray averaged 2 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. UC Dublin averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Bray won 4, UC Dublin won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Bray and 1.81 for UC Dublin. This points to a Bray double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bray
15%
Draws
40%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bray picked up more points recently compared to UC Dublin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Bray Clean Sheet 11%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray UC Dublin
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
3:4
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs UC Dublin
2:1
Oct 28, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs UC Dublin
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Bray
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 43 / 100
UC Dublin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray UC Dublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bray or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bray attacking → ← attacking UC Dublin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray have found the net in 84% of their last 32 matches.

UC Dublin have conceded at least one goal in 62% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.

Bray remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

UC Dublin suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 44
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City21163242:1151
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2187639:3031
4Cobh Ramblers2194825:2931
5Wexford2176825:2927
6Kerry2167821:2525
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone2166919:2624
9Finn Harps21471019:3719
10Treaty United21381019:3317