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Brazil U17 W vs Chile U17 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 Estadio Carfem
Wed, May 6, 2026
3 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brazil U17 W play Chile U17 W in the South American Championship Women U17. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brazil U17 W averaged 2.59 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Chile U17 W averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Brazil U17 W won 4, Chile U17 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Brazil U17 W and 1.92 for Chile U17 W. This points to a Brazil U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Brazil U17 W
21%
Draws
34%
Chile U17 W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Brazil U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Chile U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Brazil U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Chile U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U17 W Chile U17 W
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 27 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.59 2.31
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Brazil U17 W vs Chile U17 W
3:2
May 21, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Brazil U17 W vs Chile U17 W
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Brazil U17 W vs Chile U17 W
8:0
Mar 17, 2012 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Brazil U17 W
0:9
Feb 11, 2010 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Brazil U17 W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamonal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Candido M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chile U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abarca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cornejo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.46
Avg xA / game 1.51

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U17 W 43 / 100
Chile U17 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U17 W Chile U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brazil U17 W attacking → ← attacking Chile U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U17 W scored in 90% of their last 41 games.

Chile U17 W let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 6.60 goals.

Brazil U17 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chile U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

88 Points in last 5 66
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.71
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00