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Brazil U23 vs Honduras U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
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Match Events

50' Event
Cardoso R.
54' Event
Gustavo Martins
79' Event
Thauan Lara

AI Match Summary

Brazil U23 in this Pan American Games matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brazil U23
15%
Draws
28%
Honduras U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil U23 lately — more wins on the board than Honduras U23.
  • Brazil U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pan American Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Honduras U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U23 Honduras U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Honduras U23
3:0
Mar 18, 1995 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Honduras U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Martins
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Honduras U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U23 95 / 100
Honduras U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U23 Honduras U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Honduras U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Honduras U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U23 VS Honduras U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 6

Honduras U23

(Away)
01 Nov
Dominican Republic U23
1 : 3
Honduras U23
29 Oct
Brazil U23
3 : 0
Honduras U23
26 Oct
USA U23
2 : 1
Honduras U23
23 Oct
Colombia U23
2 : 0
Honduras U23
12 Jul
Japan U23
3 : 1
Honduras U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U23 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Mexico U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Uruguay U23 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Colombia U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Honduras U23 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)