Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Vinicius Junior
12'
12'
Raphinha
19'
19'
Sanchez D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Brazil come out ahead of Colombia on wins alone.
- Brazil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Brazil have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brazil, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brazil Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brazil | Colombia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2025 World Championship
Brazil vs Colombia
2:1
Jul 3, 2024 Copa América
Brazil vs Colombia
1:1
Nov 17, 2023 World Championship
Colombia vs Brazil
2:1
Nov 12, 2021 World Championship
Brazil vs Colombia
1:0
Oct 10, 2021 World Championship
Colombia vs Brazil
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brazil Compare
Top Goalscorer Raphinha
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Colombia Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brazil 50 / 100
Colombia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brazil Colombia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brazil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brazil's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Brazil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Colombia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Brazil VS Colombia
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Brazil
(Home) 05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3 Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1 Morocco
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05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2 Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Japan
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1 Morocco
06 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1 Egypt
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Colombia
(Away) 07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0 Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0 Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0 Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0 D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3 Colombia
Page 1 of 6
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0 Colombia
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3 Colombia
15 Oct
Canada
0 : 0 Colombia
12 Oct
Mexico
0 : 4 Colombia
09 Sept
Venezuela
3 : 6 Colombia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Chile | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)
