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Brazil vs Norway

World World

World Championship 2026 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bruno Guimaraes
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Sorloth A. In: Bobb O.
Out: Sorloth A.
46'
Sub
Nusa A. In: Schjelderup A.
Out: Nusa A.

AI Match Summary

Norway in this World Championship 2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brazil
22%
Draws
18%
Norway
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norway lately — more wins on the board than Brazil.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Brazil taking it.
  • Norway arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Norway, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Norway have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Brazil Clean Sheet 15%
Norway Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil Norway
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 World Championship
Brazil vs Norway
1:2
Aug 16, 2006 Friendly International
Norway vs Brazil
1:1
Jun 23, 1998 World Championship
Brazil vs Norway
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Haaland E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil 57 / 100
Norway 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil Norway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Norway let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Brazil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brazil VS Norway
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil

(Home)
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1
Morocco
Page 1 of 6

Norway

(Away)
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4
France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany1
Paraguay2
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco2
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
D.R. Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt2
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
1/8-finals
Paraguay0
France1
Canada0
Morocco3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland1
Colombia0
Quarter-finals
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway1
England2
Argentina3
Switzerland1
Semi-finals
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Final
Spain1
Argentina0
France4
England6