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Brazil W vs Uruguay W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Rosa W.
11' Event
Amanda Gutierres
Assist: Marta
13' Event
Gio Garbelini
Assist: Fatima Dutra

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Brazil W
15%
Draws
21%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brazil W come out ahead of Uruguay W on wins alone.
  • Brazil W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Brazil W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Brazil W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil W Uruguay W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Copa América Women
Brazil W vs Uruguay W
5:1
Jul 12, 2022 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Brazil W
0:3
Nov 7, 2010 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Brazil W
0:4
Jul 12, 2007 Pan American Games Women
Brazil W vs Uruguay W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gutierres
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gio Garbelini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Uruguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil W 95 / 100
Uruguay W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Uruguay W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Brazil W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil W VS Uruguay W
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1
Zambia W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1
South Korea W
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Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Argentina W 0
Colombia W 1
Brazil W 5
Uruguay W 1
Final
Colombia W 4
Brazil W 5
Argentina W 3
Uruguay W 2