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Brea vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Querol G.

AI Match Summary

Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Brea
20%
Draws
36%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Binefar lately — more wins on the board than Brea.
  • Brea are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brea Clean Sheet 19%
Binefar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brea Binefar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Binefar
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Brea
3:1
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Binefar
0:0
Oct 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Brea
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Brea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Querol G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brea 58 / 100
Binefar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brea Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Brea stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Binefar let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Brea found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Brea VS Binefar
1.33 Goals Scored 2.25
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brea

(Home)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
27 Apr
Brea
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
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Binefar

(Away)
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)