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Brechin vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brechin play Keith in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brechin averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. Keith averaged 2 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Brechin won 3, Keith won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 19, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Brechin and 1.50 for Keith. This points to a Brechin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Brechin
6%
Draws
90%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Keith demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Brechin (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Keith.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Highland League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Brechin Clean Sheet 16%
Keith Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Keith
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Keith
1:1
Jul 30, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Brechin
0:5
Feb 19, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Keith
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Brechin
1:3
Apr 16, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Brechin
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 10 / 100
Keith 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Keith

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brechin scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Keith let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Brechin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keith lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Keith
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347