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Brechin vs Nairn County

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brechin play Nairn County in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brechin averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Nairn County averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Brechin won 5, Nairn County won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Brechin and 1.00 for Nairn County. This points to a Brechin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Brechin
15%
Draws
30%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Brechin picked up more points recently compared to Nairn County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Brechin Clean Sheet 23%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Nairn County
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Highland League
Brechin vs Nairn County
3:0
Mar 28, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Brechin
1:4
Apr 5, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Nairn County
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Brechin
0:3
Jan 6, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Brechin
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 54 / 100
Nairn County 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Nairn County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Brechin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brechin attacking → ← attacking Nairn County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brechin scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nairn County let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brechin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nairn County lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 43
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347