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Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brechin have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Strathspey Thistle's 1.66 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Brechin slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Brechin to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Brechin
20%
Draws
24%
Strathspey Thistle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Brechin have won more games recently than Strathspey Thistle.
  • Model gives Brechin a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Brechin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brechin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brechin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brechin Clean Sheet 14%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Strathspey Thistle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Brechin
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
3:0
Mar 26, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Brechin
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Highland League
Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle
7:0
Jan 27, 2024 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Brechin
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 66 / 100
Strathspey Thistle 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Strathspey Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brechin scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Strathspey Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Brechin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Strathspey Thistle
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brechin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 6

Strathspey Thistle

(Away)
16 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
2 : 2
Lossiemouth
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1
Forres Mechanics
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
Annan -
Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
Clyde -
Threave Rovers -
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Clydebank FC -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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