Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stojanov M.
28' Event
Maksimov M.
45'
Sofijanoski M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Bregalnica Stip and Arsimi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bregalnica Stip.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bregalnica Stip
30%
Draws
29%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Arsimi haven't matched Bregalnica Stip's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 13%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bregalnica Stip Arsimi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
4:0
May 3, 2025 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Arsimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bregalnica Stip Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Arsimi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bregalnica Stip 31 / 100
Arsimi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bregalnica Stip Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bregalnica Stip's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arsimi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bregalnica Stip went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bregalnica Stip VS Arsimi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bregalnica Stip

(Home)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

Arsimi

(Away)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)