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Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Orrason A.
26'
Bjornsson U.
26'
Finnbogason Kr.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Breidablik and Hafnarfjordur finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Breidablik
20%
Draws
38%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Breidablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Breidablik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Breidablik a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 13%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 3.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
0:0
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:3
Feb 19, 2026 League Cup
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Hafnarfjordur
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Orrason A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kristinsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gislason G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 40 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hafnarfjordur conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Breidablik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS Hafnarfjordur
3.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
28 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik
25 Jun
Breidablik
1 : 4
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
03 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
21 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1575334:2626
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1543821:3315
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1526720:3112
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)