Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Breidablik vs Keflavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Breidablik host Keflavik in the Besta deild karla. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Keflavik have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Breidablik have conceded 1.69 and scored 2.17. Past meetings favor Breidablik slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.63) point toward Breidablik. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Breidablik
15%
Draws
34%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Breidablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Breidablik lately — more wins on the board than Keflavik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 14%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik Keflavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Keflavik
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Breidablik
0:0
Apr 25, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Breidablik
2:1
Mar 7, 2024 League Cup
Breidablik vs Keflavik
4:0
Aug 20, 2023 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Keflavik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 30 / 100
Keflavik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breidablik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Breidablik scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Keflavik has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Keflavik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS Keflavik
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Keflavik

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)