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Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Breidablik host Vikingur Reykjavik in the Besta deild karla. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vikingur Reykjavik have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Breidablik have conceded 1.69 and scored 2.17. Past meetings favor Vikingur Reykjavik slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.25, favoring Vikingur Reykjavik. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Breidablik
20%
Draws
46%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vikingur Reykjavik come out ahead of Breidablik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vikingur Reykjavik's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 14 22
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.17 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:0
Jun 25, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:4
Apr 10, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Breidablik
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Breidablik
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 26 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Vikingur Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Breidablik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS Vikingur Reykjavik
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)