Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Sorrentino S.
59'
59'
Sorrentino S.
65'
65'
Scidone G.
AI Match Summary
Breno in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Breno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Breno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ciliverghe Mazzano haven't matched Breno's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Breno's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Breno here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Breno Clean Sheet 18%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Breno | Ciliverghe Mazzano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Breno
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Breno
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Breno vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Breno Compare
Top Goalscorer Sorrentino S.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare
Top Goalscorer Scidone G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Breno 85 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Breno Ciliverghe Mazzano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Breno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciliverghe Mazzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Breno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ciliverghe Mazzano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Breno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Breno
(Home) 10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2 Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
22 Mar
Breno
0 : 3 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 4
Ciliverghe Mazzano
(Away) 04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1 Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0 Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0 Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0 Ciliverghe Mazzano
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Ciliverghe Mazzano
23 Mar
Varesina
5 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
02 Mar
Breno
3 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
