Sport Picks

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Breno vs Magenta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Guerini F.
12' Event
Brogni G.
30' Event
Toldo A.

AI Match Summary

Magenta in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Breno
35%
Draws
40%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Breno have won more games recently than Magenta.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Breno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Breno Clean Sheet 18%
Magenta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Magenta
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Magenta
1:3
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Breno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Brogni G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toldo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 36 / 100
Magenta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Magenta conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Breno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Breno scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 7

Magenta

(Away)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)