Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Breno vs Vogherese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Valenti N.
45' Event
Valsecchi P.
64' Event
Cani E.

AI Match Summary

Breno in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Breno
20%
Draws
0%
Vogherese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Breno lately — more wins on the board than Vogherese.
  • Win probability leans Breno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Breno Clean Sheet 68%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Vogherese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Vogherese
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Breno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valsecchi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vogherese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cani E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 95 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Vogherese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vogherese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Vogherese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Breno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS Vogherese
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 6

Vogherese

(Away)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)