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Brentford vs West Ham

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Brentford Community Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mavropanos K.
Own Goal
21'
Mavropanos K.
54' Event
Thiago I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Brentford in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brentford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brentford
33%
Draws
27%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brentford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Brentford have won more games recently than West Ham.
  • Model gives Brentford a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Brentford Clean Sheet 19%
West Ham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentford West Ham
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs West Ham
3:0
Mar 9, 2026 FA Cup
West Ham vs Brentford
3:2
Oct 20, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Brentford
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Brentford
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Brentford vs West Ham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentford Compare

Top Goalscorer Damsgaard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

West Ham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentford 40 / 100
West Ham 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentford West Ham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brentford scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

West Ham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Brentford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brentford VS West Ham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820