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Brentwood vs Chichester City

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brentwood play Chichester City in the Isthmian League Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brentwood averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Chichester City averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Brentwood won 2, Chichester City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Brentwood and 1.44 for Chichester City. This points to a Brentwood double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Brentwood
22%
Draws
29%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brentwood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Brentwood picked up more points recently compared to Chichester City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 16%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentwood Chichester City
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Chichester City
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chichester City vs Brentwood
2:5
Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Brentwood vs Chichester City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hughes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moore J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentwood 47 / 100
Chichester City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentwood Chichester City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brentwood or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brentwood attacking → ← attacking Chichester City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brentwood scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Chichester City let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Brentwood went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chichester City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 37
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727