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Brentwood vs Welling

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Edwards C.
57' Event
Kymani T.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Brentwood and Welling finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brentwood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Brentwood
15%
Draws
46%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Welling haven't matched Brentwood's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Brentwood's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Brentwood have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 12%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentwood Welling
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Welling
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Brentwood
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Brentwood vs Welling
3:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Brentwood vs Welling
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kymani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Welling Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentwood 35 / 100
Welling 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentwood Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welling has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Brentwood's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Brentwood went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brentwood VS Welling
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentwood

(Home)
28 Jul
Maidstone
5 : 0
Brentwood
25 Jul
Canvey Island
3 : 4
Brentwood
11 Jul
Brentwood
2 : 3
Hullbridge
04 May
Billericay
2 : 1
Brentwood
29 Apr
Aveley
1 : 4
Brentwood
Page 1 of 6

Welling

(Away)
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
14 Jul
Welling
3 : 2
Braintree
11 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 1
Welling
25 Apr
Welling
2 : 2
Billericay
18 Apr
Cray Wanderers
2 : 3
Welling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)