Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brera Strumica vs Pelister

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ivanovski M.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Mihailov F.
Penalty Missed
44'
Ivanovski M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Brera Strumica and Pelister finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelister.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Brera Strumica
15%
Draws
46%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pelister come out ahead of Brera Strumica on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brera Strumica's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 68%
Pelister Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brera Strumica Pelister
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Pelister
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Pelister
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brera Strumica 68 / 100
Pelister 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brera Strumica Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Brera Strumica remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Brera Strumica found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Pelister let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brera Strumica VS Pelister
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brera Strumica

(Home)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Pelister

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)