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Brest Malorita vs Gorki

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Play Offs
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Pampukha P.
40' Event
Pampukha P.
64' Event
Kozel R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Play Offs game between Brest Malorita and Gorki finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest Malorita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Brest Malorita
6%
Draws
4%
Gorki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brest Malorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gorki haven't matched Brest Malorita's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brest Malorita a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brest Malorita Clean Sheet 20%
Gorki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Malorita Gorki
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 4 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Gorki vs Brest Malorita
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Brest Malorita vs Gorki
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Malorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Pampukha P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Golovchik S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Gorki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest Malorita 85 / 100
Gorki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Malorita Gorki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brest Malorita scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Gorki has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Gorki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest Malorita VS Gorki
4 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brest Malorita7
Gorki2
Viktoria Maryina Gorka4
Ostrovets12
Meliorator Zhitkovichi3
ML Vitebsk5
Ivatsevichi9
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi8
BGU Minsk3
BumProm Gomel2
Pershiy Region0
Polotsk6
Kronon Stolbtsy4
Energetik-BGATU3
Chayka Zelva5
Zhlobin3