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Brest Malorita vs Gorki Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Play Offs
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Pampukha P.
40' Event
Pampukha P.
64' Event
Kozel R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brest Malorita
15%
Draws
49%
Gorki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gorki haven't matched Brest Malorita's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brest Malorita a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Brest Malorita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brest Malorita, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brest Malorita Clean Sheet 20%
Gorki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Malorita Gorki
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 3.36 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Gorki vs Brest Malorita
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Brest Malorita vs Gorki
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Malorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Pampukha P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Golovchik S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Gorki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest Malorita 85 / 100
Gorki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Malorita Gorki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Malorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brest Malorita scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Gorki conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Gorki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest Malorita VS Gorki
4 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest Malorita

(Home)
12 Feb
Belshina
5 : 2
Brest Malorita
11 Feb
Dynamo Brest
2 : 0
Brest Malorita
23 Jun
Brest Malorita
1 : 2
Slutsk
29 May
Brest Malorita
11 : 0
Kostyukovichy
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
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Gorki

(Away)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brest Malorita 7
Gorki 2
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 4
Ostrovets 12
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Ivatsevichi 9
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 8
BGU Minsk 3
BumProm Gomel 2
Pershiy Region 0
Polotsk 6
Kronon Stolbtsy 4
Energetik-BGATU 3
Chayka Zelva 5
Zhlobin 3