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Stadium Background

Brest U19 vs Sturm Graz U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Grgic L.
Assist: Kern M.
40' Event
Kern M.
46'
Sub
Laine M. L. C. In: Moineau N.
Out: Laine M. L. C.

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sturm Graz U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Brest U19
35%
Draws
52%
Sturm Graz U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sturm Graz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sturm Graz U19 lately — more wins on the board than Brest U19.
  • Win probability leans Sturm Graz U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Brest U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest U19 Sturm Graz U19
Matches Played 6 8
Wins 0 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 0.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Brest U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante I. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grgic L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kern M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest U19 10 / 100
Sturm Graz U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest U19 Sturm Graz U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest U19 scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Sturm Graz U19 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Brest U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest U19 VS Sturm Graz U19
0.83 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Brest U19
1 : 3
PSV U19
26 Nov
Barcelona U19
2 : 0
Brest U19
06 Nov
Sparta Prague U19
1 : 1
Brest U19
23 Oct
Brest U19
1 : 1
Leverkusen U19
01 Oct
Salzburg U19
5 : 1
Brest U19
Page 1 of 2

Sturm Graz U19

(Away)
05 Mar
Sturm Graz U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Sturm Graz U19
0 : 0
Girona U19
05 Nov
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Sturm Graz U19
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)