Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brest vs Rennes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dina Ebimbe J.
Assist: Ajorque L.
20' Event
Blas L.
Assist: Merlin Q.
34'
Coudert G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Brest and Rennes finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Brest
28%
Draws
50%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Brest haven't matched Rennes's recent run of results.
  • Rennes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
Rennes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Rennes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Rennes
3:4
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Brest
3:1
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Rennes vs Brest
2:3
Jan 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Brest
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Rennes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Dina Ebimbe J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Labeau Lascary R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Blas L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Embolo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 22 / 100
Rennes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Rennes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Rennes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Rennes
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1
Rennes
10 May
Rennes
2 : 1
Paris FC
03 May
Lyon
4 : 2
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)