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Brest vs Sassuolo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lees-Melou P.
25'
Lees-Melou P.
45' Event
Volpato C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brest
40%
Draws
29%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sassuolo lately — more wins on the board than Brest.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Brest Clean Sheet 12%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Sassuolo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Brest vs Sassuolo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Lees-Melou P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpato C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 30 / 100
Sassuolo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Brest found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Sassuolo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Sassuolo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
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Sassuolo

(Away)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
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