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Brest vs Strasbourg

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Barco V.
Assist: Nanasi S.
13' Event
Ajorque L.
Assist: Lala K.
20' Event
Nanasi S.
Assist: Enciso J.

AI Match Summary

Strasbourg in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strasbourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Brest
17%
Draws
13%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brest haven't matched Strasbourg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brest a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Brest Clean Sheet 13%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Strasbourg
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Strasbourg
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Brest
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajorque L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Strasbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Barco V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nanasi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 66 / 100
Strasbourg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Brest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Strasbourg
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
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Strasbourg

(Away)
25 Jul
Strasbourg
0 : 2
Blackburn
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0
Strasbourg
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4
Monaco
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
Angers
1 : 1
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)