Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brestnik vs Asenovets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Brestnik and Asenovets finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asenovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brestnik
15%
Draws
28%
Asenovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brestnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brestnik come out ahead of Asenovets on wins alone.
  • Brestnik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Brestnik Clean Sheet 20%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brestnik Asenovets
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Brestnik
6:1
Sep 29, 2012 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Asenovets
0:2
Apr 22, 2012 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Asenovets
0:1
Oct 16, 2011 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Brestnik
3:3
Jun 5, 2009 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Asenovets
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brestnik 85 / 100
Asenovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brestnik Asenovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brestnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asenovets let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Asenovets lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Brestnik found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Asenovets
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brestnik

(Home)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
7 : 2
Brestnik
25 May
Brestnik
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
18 May
Zagorets
2 : 3
Brestnik
15 May
Brestnik
2 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
09 May
Nesebar
2 : 1
Brestnik
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Asenovets

(Away)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)