Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brestnik vs Rozova Dolina

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Brestnik
20%
Draws
46%
Rozova Dolina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rozova Dolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rozova Dolina lately — more wins on the board than Brestnik.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Rozova Dolina taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brestnik Clean Sheet 20%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brestnik Rozova Dolina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2013 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Rozova Dolina
2:0
Sep 15, 2012 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Brestnik
4:0
May 27, 2012 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Brestnik
6:0
Nov 27, 2011 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Rozova Dolina
2:2
Apr 29, 2009 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Brestnik
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brestnik 12 / 100
Rozova Dolina 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brestnik Rozova Dolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Rozova Dolina has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Brestnik's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brestnik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rozova Dolina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brestnik

(Home)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
7 : 2
Brestnik
25 May
Brestnik
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
18 May
Zagorets
2 : 3
Brestnik
15 May
Brestnik
2 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
09 May
Nesebar
2 : 1
Brestnik
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Rozova Dolina

(Away)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)