Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brian Lignano vs Bassano Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Alessio M.
(Penalty)
45'
Barbana R.
90' Event
Fosu M. J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Brian Lignano
20%
Draws
28%
Bassano Virtus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brian Lignano lately — more wins on the board than Bassano Virtus.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Brian Lignano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 68%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brian Lignano Bassano Virtus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 13
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Bassano Virtus
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Brian Lignano
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Bassano Virtus
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Brian Lignano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brian Lignano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Fosu M. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brian Lignano 86 / 100
Bassano Virtus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brian Lignano Bassano Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brian Lignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brian Lignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brian Lignano's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bassano Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brian Lignano VS Bassano Virtus
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brian Lignano

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Bassano Virtus

(Away)
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Bassano Virtus
1 : 0
Cjarlins Muzane
12 Apr
Campodarsego
1 : 0
Bassano Virtus
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)