Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C

FC Obermais

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brian Lignano play FC Obermais in the Serie D - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brian Lignano averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. FC Obermais averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Brian Lignano won 0, FC Obermais won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Brian Lignano and 0.94 for FC Obermais. This points to a Brian Lignano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Brian Lignano

29%

Draws

28%

FC Obermais

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Brian Lignano picked up more points recently compared to FC Obermais.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 24%

FC Obermais Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brian Lignano	FC Obermais
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	14	9
Draws	8	10
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.67	1.16
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Brian Lignano vs FC Obermais

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group C

FC Obermais vs Brian Lignano

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brian Lignano 44 / 100

FC Obermais 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brian Lignano FC Obermais

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brian Lignano or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brian Lignano attacking → ← attacking FC Obermais

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brian Lignano scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Obermais let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Brian Lignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Obermais lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 37

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	69
2	Legnago Salus	34	18	7	9	63:41	61
3	Clodiense	34	17	9	8	47:29	60
4	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	55
5	Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	55
6	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	51
7	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	50
8	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	50
9	Bassano Virtus	34	12	14	8	37:27	50
10	Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	48
11	Altavilla	34	10	16	8	28:24	46
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	44
13	Luparense FC	34	10	13	11	36:39	43
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	38
15	San Luigi	34	8	10	16	33:54	34
16	FC Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	34
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	18
18	Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	11