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Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Carron L.
45' Event
Marangon G.
51' Event
Djoulou M.

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Brian Lignano
20%
Draws
63%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Brian Lignano haven't matched Luparense FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 13%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brian Lignano Luparense FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
1:3
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
3:0
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Brian Lignano
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Luparense FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Djoulou M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carron L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marangon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brian Lignano 10 / 100
Luparense FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brian Lignano Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brian Lignano scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Luparense FC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Brian Lignano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brian Lignano VS Luparense FC
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brian Lignano

(Home)
07 Oct
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Luparense FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)