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Bridgwater United W vs Chatham W

England England

Women's National League South 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bridgwater United W play Chatham W in the Women's National League South 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bridgwater United W averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Chatham W averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. In past meetings, Bridgwater United W won 2, Chatham W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 4, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Bridgwater United W and 1.06 for Chatham W. This points to a Bridgwater United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bridgwater United W
26%
Draws
36%
Chatham W
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Bridgwater United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Bridgwater United W picked up more points recently compared to Chatham W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Bridgwater United W Clean Sheet 22%
Chatham W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bridgwater United W Chatham W
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
0:2
Oct 23, 2022 Women's National League South
Bridgwater United W vs Chatham W
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Women's National League South
Bridgwater United W vs Chatham W
0:0
Sep 5, 2021 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bridgwater United W 39 / 100
Chatham W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bridgwater United W Chatham W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bridgwater United W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bridgwater United W attacking → ← attacking Chatham W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bridgwater United W scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Chatham W let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Bridgwater United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chatham W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watford W22172365:1753
2Ipswich W22172348:1153
3Oxford Utd W22163353:1551
4Portsmouth W22152544:2047
5Milton Keynes Dons W22931038:4230
6Billericay W22841037:4128
7Chatham W22841023:2928
8Cheltenham W22741129:5025
9London Bees W22721322:4123
10Plymouth W22611523:4519
11Bridgwater United W22351420:4314
12Haywards Heath W22141713:617