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Bright Stars vs Iganga United

Uganda Uganda

Big League Kavumba Recreation Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Bright Stars and Iganga United finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bright Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bright Stars
6%
Draws
90%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iganga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Iganga United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bright Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bright Stars Iganga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Bright Stars
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Bright Stars vs Iganga United
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bright Stars 10 / 100
Iganga United 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bright Stars Iganga United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IGA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Iganga United conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Bright Stars found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Bright Stars stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bright Stars VS Iganga United
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717