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Bright Stars vs Kaaro Karungi Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026 Kavumba Recreation Centre, Wakiso
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AI Match Summary

Kaaro Karungi in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaaro Karungi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bright Stars
20%
Draws
57%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bright Stars haven't matched Kaaro Karungi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kaaro Karungi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Bright Stars Clean Sheet 19%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bright Stars Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Big League
Bright Stars vs Kaaro Karungi
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Bright Stars
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bright Stars 16 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bright Stars Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Bright Stars's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kaaro Karungi let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Bright Stars has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bright Stars VS Kaaro Karungi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bright Stars

(Home)
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Ntugasaze
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Bright Stars
0 : 1
Blacks Power
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Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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