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Bright Stars vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026 Kavumba Recreation Centre, Wakiso
Bright Stars Logo

Bright Stars

0 - 2
FT
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Bright Stars and Ntugasaze finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bright Stars
15%
Draws
36%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bright Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ntugasaze carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bright Stars are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bright Stars Clean Sheet 14%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bright Stars Ntugasaze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Bright Stars vs Ntugasaze
0:2
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Bright Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bright Stars 35 / 100
Ntugasaze 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bright Stars Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ntugasaze registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bright Stars's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ntugasaze conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bright Stars VS Ntugasaze
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bright Stars

(Home)
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Ntugasaze
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Bright Stars
0 : 1
Blacks Power
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Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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