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Brightlingsea vs Corinthian-Casuals

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kamara S.
30' Event
Suleyman Z.
45' Event
Jeremiah S.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2022/2023 game between Brightlingsea and Corinthian-Casuals finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brightlingsea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Brightlingsea
17%
Draws
13%
Corinthian-Casuals
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brightlingsea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthian-Casuals haven't matched Brightlingsea's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Brightlingsea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Brightlingsea Clean Sheet 20%
Corinthian-Casuals Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brightlingsea Corinthian-Casuals
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brightlingsea vs Corinthian-Casuals
4:2
Dec 3, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Corinthian-Casuals vs Brightlingsea
2:1
Apr 2, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brightlingsea vs Corinthian-Casuals
0:1
Nov 27, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Corinthian-Casuals vs Brightlingsea
0:0
Apr 27, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brightlingsea vs Corinthian-Casuals
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brightlingsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Suleyman Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jeremiah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Corinthian-Casuals Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lahan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brightlingsea 67 / 100
Corinthian-Casuals 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brightlingsea Corinthian-Casuals

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brightlingsea's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Corinthian-Casuals let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Corinthian-Casuals's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brightlingsea VS Corinthian-Casuals
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stortford42277875:3388
2Hornchurch42259898:4984
3Canvey Island42249980:4481
4Aveley422391064:4278
5Cray Wanderers422014878:4874
6Lewes422014882:5474
7Horsham FC4220121084:5772
8Hastings4220111163:4271
9Enfield Town4219121173:4969
10Billericay421981566:5965
11Carshalton4218101453:5364
12Folkestone421851973:6559
13Potters421652156:8653
14Bognor Regis421572070:7252
15Haringey Borough4213121767:7551
16Wingate & Finchley4212121853:6448
17Margate4211112048:6544
18Kingstonian421092343:7739
19Bowers & Pitsea42892544:7833
20Herne Bay42892560:10133
21Corinthian-Casuals42753037:8726
22Brightlingsea42592841:10824