Sport Picks
Brighton vs Aston Villa
England
Premier League Amex Stadium, Brighton 
AI Match Summary
Brighton host Aston Villa in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Aston Villa have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Brighton have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Aston Villa slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Aston Villa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aston Villa come out ahead of Brighton on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Aston Villa's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Brighton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Aston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.
Solid form: Brighton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton
(Home)Aston Villa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Nottingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
