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Brighton U21 vs Bournemouth U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brighton U21 host Bournemouth U21 in the Premier League 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Brighton U21 at 1.77 goals for, 1.26 against; Bournemouth U21 at 2.43 for, 1.77 against. Head-to-head, Brighton U21 have won 1 to Bournemouth U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 26, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.63) back Bournemouth U21 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brighton U21
15%
Draws
49%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bournemouth U21 come out ahead of Brighton U21 on wins alone.
  • Bournemouth U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth U21 vs Brighton U21
0:2
Aug 17, 2022 Premier League Cup
Brighton U21 vs Bournemouth U21
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton U21 19 / 100
Bournemouth U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brighton U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Bournemouth U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Brighton U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brighton U21 VS Bournemouth U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3
Brighton U21
09 Oct
Brighton U21
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd U21
19 Sept
Liverpool U21
5 : 1
Brighton U21
16 Sept
Brighton U21
2 : 1
PSG U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 7

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1
Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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