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Brighton vs Univ. Craiova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Amex Stadium, Brighton
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brighton host Univ. Craiova in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. Brighton have averaged 2.19 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Univ. Craiova's 2.07 scored and 0.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.13 - 1.69) back Univ. Craiova to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brighton
20%
Draws
52%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Univ. Craiova lately — more wins on the board than Brighton.
  • Model gives Univ. Craiova a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Brighton Clean Sheet 13%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.19 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton 10 / 100
Univ. Craiova 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton Univ. Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brighton scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Univ. Craiova conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Brighton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brighton VS Univ. Craiova
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton

(Home)
05 Nov
Getafe
0 : 1
Brighton
31 Oct
Manchester City
0 : 1
Brighton
28 Oct
Manchester City
3 : 2
Brighton
25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0
Brighton
22 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 0
Brighton
Page 1 of 6

Univ. Craiova

(Away)
05 Nov
Univ. Craiova
2 : 0
KF Egnatia
01 Nov
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
FC Botosani
29 Oct
Voluntari
1 : 1
Univ. Craiova
26 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 5
Univ. Craiova
22 Oct
Inter Escaldes
1 : 3
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)