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Brikama United vs Hart Academy

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brikama United play Hart Academy in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brikama United averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Hart Academy averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Brikama United won 1, Hart Academy won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Brikama United and 0.94 for Hart Academy. This points to a Brikama United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Brikama United
35%
Draws
28%
Hart Academy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brikama United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Brikama United picked up more points recently compared to Hart Academy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Brikama United Clean Sheet 24%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brikama United Hart Academy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Brikama United
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 GFA League
Brikama United vs Hart Academy
3:1
May 30, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Brikama United
0:0
Dec 20, 2024 GFA League
Brikama United vs Hart Academy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brikama United Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hart Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nfansu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brikama United 38 / 100
Hart Academy 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brikama United Hart Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brikama United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brikama United attacking → ← attacking Hart Academy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brikama United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Hart Academy let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Brikama United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hart Academy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830